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Polls hint at GOP softening on Trump economy

Written by Aanya Menon | 3/17/2026

A new survey suggests some Trump voters are rethinking Trump's economic leadership, dovetailing with national polls that show Americans remain skeptical about the state of the economy more than a year into his second term.

What Happened

A workplace survey posted by the tech community platform Blind claims that a notable share of self-identified Trump voters on the app say their views of his economic leadership are shifting. While Blind’s audience skews toward white-collar workers and the findings are not nationally representative, the headline sentiment arrives as broader, scientific polling shows persistent doubts about the economy and about Trump’s stewardship.

What Polls Show

In a national AP-NORC survey fielded October 9–13, 2025, just 36% approve of Trump's handling of the economy, with concerns centered on inflation, housing and energy costs. Even among Republicans, support was notably softer than typical party-line backing in recent years, a potential warning sign for 2026 races. The survey also found rising anxiety about finding good jobs and paying household bills.

Separate polling underscores the trend. A Washington Post–ABC News–Ipsos survey conducted October 24–28, 2025 and published November 2 reported 37% approval on the economy versus a clear majority who disapproved. And Bloomberg’s review of summertime polling found that Gallup’s measure of approval for Trump’s economic approach fell from February to July 2025, with Gallup fell from 42% to 37% by July 2025, driven largely by independents.

Why It Matters

Trump’s political brand has long leaned on economic credibility. But tariffs, elevated living costs and slower hiring have complicated that advantage. If skepticism grows inside parts of the Republican coalition — even modestly — it could narrow GOP margins in suburban House districts and among swing independents ahead of the November 3, 2026 midterms.

What To Watch

Keep an eye on the next rounds of AP-NORC, Reuters/Ipsos and Gallup polling for movement among Republicans and independents on questions about inflation, personal finances and tariff impacts. Gas prices, grocery bills and corporate layoff headlines often move sentiment quickly; any easing on those fronts could buoy perceptions, while renewed price spikes could harden doubts.

Sources

Disclaimer: Blind’s survey reflects responses from its user base and is not a nationally representative poll.